This analysis looks at an expected cost of obtaining EVERY premium based on my starting roster.
That's risky gambling and I won't be doing that. Obviously if you only buy 20x boxes you could get unlucky and get nothing. It is well known that lower tier ships are far more likely to drop so this math only works if you already own most of them. The starting points, assumptions, objectivesĪs a guiding principle you can expect to spend $20-25 per ship from lootboxes.
I'll walk through my logic and I hope it helps players in similar positions come to a responsible decision. While I do not normally buy lootboxes in games, the Santa crates offer a fairly predictable reward set IF you are starting with most of the ships already and are willing to spend a significant amount of money. So this is the personal analysis and predictions I made for this year's Santa Crates.
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